1pt 25-45 Bookings Points 19/10, Everton v Villa (LOST)

[38%]

I'm a bit late this week, sorry folks. Had 2,000 words to get in by this afternoon so haven't managed to get anything else done.

In case you're wondering why I always put 38% for the bookings middles, it's because that's what the bookings poisson program makes it. When you factor in the refs then the actual chance is greater than 38%, but it's hard to difficult to work out what the real % ought to be. So if I just put 38% then you know that's the absolute bare minimum chance.

1pt 25-45 Bookings Points 19/10, Bolton v Chelsea (WON)

[38%]

1pt 25-45 Bookings Points 19/10, Burnley v Hull (LOST)

[38%]

0.25pts Plymouth 8.8 at Middlesboro (WON)

[14.5%]

1pt Nottm Forest 4.6 at Cardiff (LOST)

[25.5%]

1pt 25-45 Bookings Points 19/10, West Ham v Arsenal (LOST)

I used to hate doing Steve Bennett games when he was a loon (yes, I know the old adage 'at least you know what you're getting with Bennett'), but I like him much better now that every game he does makes up 30 or 40. This one could go off, but is still worth an investment with William Hill. [38%]

1pt 25-45 Bookings Points 2/1, Birmingham v Sunderland (WON)

[38%].

1pt 25-45 Bookings Points 19/10, Tottenham v Stoke (WON)

[38%].

0.5pts Doncaster 13/2 at Newcastle (LOST)

Can't really be smelled but the price is too big. [16%]

1pt Peterboro 13/5 at Doncaster (LOST)

Dare I say, I quite like this one. Bugger! Bocked it... [30%]

0.25pts Swansea 6/1 at West Brom (WON)

I would no doubt be better off employing a monkey to stick a pin in the Ladbrokes Millionaire Coupon to choose my selections, but I shall crack on undeterred. This one is highly speculative. They won't win but the price is too big. [15.5%]

0.5pts 25-45 Bookings Points 19/10, Wigan v Man City (LOST)

Wiley not so prolofic last season, but 5 out of 9 have made up 30 this year. There is a certain degree of volatility to the make-ups, which is not something you'd really look for when playing middles, so it's just a half pointer. [38%]

1pt 25-45 Bookings Points 19/10, Aston Villa v Chelsea (WON)

Bennett's games this season read 40,40,10,30,30,30,30. [38%]

0.5pts Derby 10/3 at Leicester (LOST)

[25%]

1pt Plymouth 4/1 at Blackpool (LOST)

[24%]

0.5pts Peterboro 4/1 at Bristol City (LOST)

[22%]

Thanks for the Stockport value Gratian. Nothing to report this week from my camp. If I spot anything I'll let you know.

Bettingzone have also spotted the Bignall value!

1pt 25-45 Bookings Points 19/10, Arsenal v Blackburn (LOST)

[38%]

1pt 25-45 Bookings Points 19/10, Bolton v Tottenham (WON)

[38%]