Friday, 21 August 2009

Thanks again Gratian. I've backed the five selections with the Patrick Newman "Seal of Approval", plus Doncaster at the 13/2. I'll be looking out for a few bookings middles once Hills go up with their weekend games, but apart from that I haven't spotted any other bets on the weekend stuff (not getting as much time as I might like to scour through all the prices - can't imagine this will improve when I have to commute to Exeter every day either. Groans) Best of luck me old mate...
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3 comments:

  1. Gratian21 August 2009 at 10:51

    The long term doesn't make Dagenham a bet at 5/1 but I wouldn't put you off the 5/1 about them away at Sven. PN loves it as does Scatman and I have also backed it with Fredbet.

    I will aim to post almost everything I make value on here so you don't go without your fair share of losing bets.

    Where has all this middle value come from?

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  2. Billy Bunter21 August 2009 at 20:55

    Well, it's come from a bookings poisson spreadsheet. It's something I started looking at towards the end of last season but forgot all about it until now. Time will tell if there is money to be made, but it seems if you pick the right bookings price games and the right referees you ought to be onto a winner.

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  3. Billy Bunter21 August 2009 at 20:56

    I should point out the yellow card bit is done off a normal distribution, and the red cards off a poisson.

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