Tuesday, 29 December 2009
1pt 25-45 Bookings Points 7/4, Villa vs Liverpool (LOST)
Walton, 6/15. Something about this one doesn't smell right, but the criteria seem to fit. [38%+]
3pts Man Utd (-1.75) 2.07 vs Leeds (LOST)
You only need to ask yourself what price Utd ought to be at home to Portsmouth in order to see that this is nonsense. I'm hoping the Newmanator will agree with this assessment. [59%]
(Even accounting for rested players for Wednesday's Carling Cup affair)
(Even accounting for rested players for Wednesday's Carling Cup affair)
Sunday, 27 December 2009
1pt 25-45 Bookings Points 7/4, Newcastle vs Derby (LOST)
Wright, 6/14. Coral were very late going up with this one. [38%+]
Saturday, 26 December 2009
I'm also interested in Scunthorpe at home to West Brom. I'm trying to get some 4/1 on Betfair to make it worth having a bet. Again, it's another example of me trying to back a shit team against a very good one, but Scunthorpe have beaten the likes of Newcastle, Sheff Utd AND Chesterfield at their gaff this season. [23%]
0.75pts Crystal Palace 7/2 at Swansea (LOST)
Can't really have Palace, but the 7/2 is a smidgeon too big. [24.5%]
0.5pts Derby 8/1 at Newcastle (LOST)
Very speculative, but since Skybet eased the Rams this afternoon the 8/1 is just too tempting. I have adjusted my thoughts since Derby's pathetic showing today, and I still make it a small bet. And, I am fully aware that Derby are dog-dirt this year. [12.5%]
Wednesday, 23 December 2009
Sunday, 20 December 2009
1pt 25-45 Bookings Points 2/1, Newcastle vs Middlesboro (WON)
This may seem like madness, but the stats seem to point to a magic middle for this one. 6/14 of the most recent league meetings between these two have made up in the middle, and Kevin Friend is on an 8/15 streak. To be honest, after yesterday I am getting a bit fed up with this magic middle shit, but must plod on. [38%+]
Saturday, 19 December 2009
0.5pts 25-45 Bookings Points 7/4, Arsenal vs Hull (LOST)
I'm close to swerving this one, but have gone for a half stakes approach instead. The bookings price wouldn't want to be much lower. Bennett, 7/13. [38%+]
Tuesday, 15 December 2009
1pt 25-45 Bookings Points 7/4, Man Utd vs Wolves (LOST)
Bennett, 7/12: although most of this was earlier in the season and he is starting to show signs of reverting to the Steve Bennett of old, AKA 'Balloon-head' ('But at least you know what you're getting with Bennett', etc). [38%+]
Saturday, 12 December 2009
Thursday, 10 December 2009
0.75pts Cardiff 11/4 at Middlesboro (WON)
Five 'bets' this weekend in the Championship, none of which I am getting too excited about as they're all somewhat speculative. The four aways are all playing teams in a poor-ish run of form, which as well as the long-term making them value has persuaded me to have a little interest on each. No big stakes this week; or rather 'No Heroes' as we used to say. [30%]
Sunday, 6 December 2009
0.75pts Scunthorpe 4/1 at Barnsley (LOST)
No less than four bets to be had in the mid-week Championship, which either means that I have completely gone at the game or that Skybet et al are being very generous. Unfortunately, I know which one of these is the jolly. [24%]
Friday, 4 December 2009
Thursday, 3 December 2009
1pt Nottm Forest 2.48 vs Leicester (WON)
The money has just disappeared off Betfair, but if you can get 2.48 or better I think the Trees are a bet. [45.5%]
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