Sunday, 30 August 2009

Hmmm, not impressed by William Hill going 7/4 the two bookings middles for tomorrow night's Championship games. Where's the 19/10 gone??? It's still value, but not enough to have a bet.

Friday, 28 August 2009

1pt 25-45 Bookings Points 2/1, Villa v Fulham (WON)

Bennett let us down last week, and this is about as low as you'd want the bookings price to be in order to have a bet. However, it's 2/1 rather than the usual 19/10 and Bennett is historically the best in the business when it comes to magic middles. [37.5%]

Thursday, 27 August 2009

1.25pts Ipswich 2.48 vs Preston (LOST)

Ipswich aren't really firing yet but they're perhaps worth backing against a Preston side who traditionally don't travel well. [45.5%]

Tuesday, 25 August 2009

0.5pt Celtic 9/1 at Arsenal (LOST)

A bit waggonish I suspect, but the price just looks a bit too big to pass it by. [11.5%]

1pt Bristol City 3.6 vs Middlesbro (WON)

Another one that can't particularly be smelled, but value is value...[33%]

Saturday, 22 August 2009

1pt 25-45 Bookings Points 19/10, Cardiff v Bristol C (WON)

Yawn...this is getting a bit predictable but here is another 'value' bookings middle. [38%]

Friday, 21 August 2009

1.5pts 25-45 Bookings Points 19/10, Fulham v Chelsea (LOST)

Andre Marriner is even kinder to the middle band than Steve Tanner - 47% of his games would have been winners over the past year. [38%]

I'll be looking out for a price in the Arsenal v Pompey game. This will be the king of bonkos if Hillbilly's go up with the usual 19/10 judging by Steve Bennett's discipline card distributions of late.

1.5pts 25-45 Bookings Points 2/1, WBA v Ipswich (LOST)

Big price about the middle here. 42% of Steve Tanner's games have made up in the middle over the past season. [38%]
Thanks again Gratian. I've backed the five selections with the Patrick Newman "Seal of Approval", plus Doncaster at the 13/2. I'll be looking out for a few bookings middles once Hills go up with their weekend games, but apart from that I haven't spotted any other bets on the weekend stuff (not getting as much time as I might like to scour through all the prices - can't imagine this will improve when I have to commute to Exeter every day either. Groans) Best of luck me old mate...

Wednesday, 19 August 2009

Thanks Gratian for your words of encouragement, and thanks Samwell for this evening's bets...

Tuesday, 18 August 2009

1pt 25-45 Bookings Points 19/10, Celtic v Arsenal (WON)

The last one of these made up 95. A 30 or 40 would be nice this time. [38%]
I've had an early look at the weekend Championship, but everything's in line and there's no bets to be had yet.

Monday, 17 August 2009

Sunday, 16 August 2009

0.75pt Sheff Weds 9/2 at Newcastle (LOST)

Not surprisingly I can't really smell this one, but according to Sporting's long term the Owls ought to be even shorter than I make them. The amount of value in this one really hinges on the weight of this neg everyone seems to have for the Toon, so there is an element of the unknown at this stage. [20.5%]

Friday, 14 August 2009

1pt Derby 3.0 at Scunthorpe (LOST)

In keeping with last season, Derby are on the drift as the match approaches. I've already backed them at 2.9 on Betfair, so the 3.0 available at the moment looks lovely. [39%]

Tuesday, 11 August 2009

1pt Nottm Forest 2/1 vs West Brom (LOST)

Yes, at the risk of getting repetitive it would appear Forest are a bet again this week. If the long term betting is anything like correct then, at worst, this can only be a choice game. It's still early so we can't be too sure exactly how tricky the Trees are going to be this season, but they're definitely worth an investment. At this rate they could be this year's Derby County. [37%]

I've had it rightly pointed out by Knowlesy that taking the 2/1 is better than paying 5% on the 21/10 on Betfair. That's why the price has changed above. Such an elementary error....

Friday, 7 August 2009

This doesn't bode well. It looks like I'm losing it already - 7/2 is available now...